2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
Trade ↗Tarcísio de Freitas is favored at 21% as of 28 Oct 2026, 23:06 UTC across 11 markets.
- Tarcísio de Freitas: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Ratinho Júnior: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Eduardo Leite: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Guilherme Boulos: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Michelle Bolsonaro: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Fernando Haddad: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Geraldo Alckmin: 4% (24h change 0%)
- João Campos: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Ronaldo Caiado: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Romeu Zema: 4% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: 2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
Tarcísio de Freitas is favored at 21% as of 28 Oct 2026, 23:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2030 Brazil Presidential election winner?
Tarcísio de Freitas: 21%; Flávio Bolsonaro: 7%; Ratinho Júnior: 6%; Eduardo Leite: 5%; Guilherme Boulos: 5%; Michelle Bolsonaro: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.