Liberal Party is favored at 95% as of 5 Oct 2026, 14:36 UTC across 5 markets.
- Liberal Party: 95% (24h change +4.9%)
- Social Democratic Party: 2.7% (24h change 0%)
- Brazil Union: 0.9% (24h change -1.9%)
- Brazilian Democratic Movement: 0.2% (24h change -8.6%)
- Workers' Party: 0.1% (24h change -0.1%)
Brazilian Senate election winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Brazilian Senate election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazilian Senate election winner?
Liberal Party is favored at 95% as of 5 Oct 2026, 14:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazilian Senate election winner?
Liberal Party: 95%; Social Democratic Party: 2.7%; Brazil Union: 0.9%; Brazilian Democratic Movement: 0.2%; Workers' Party: 0.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.