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Live market summary

Eduardo Bolsonaro is favored at 5% as of 3 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Eduardo Bolsonaro: 5% (24h change -0.1%)
  • Jair Bolsonaro: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Ratinho Júnior: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Who will run for President of Brazil?

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About this market

Market question: Who will run for President of Brazil?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will run for President of Brazil?

Eduardo Bolsonaro is favored at 5% as of 3 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will run for President of Brazil?

Eduardo Bolsonaro: 5%; Jair Bolsonaro: 4%; Ratinho Júnior: 1.1%; Tarcísio de Freitas: 1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.