Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)Will Mallory McMorrow drop out?·Will Mallory McMorrow drop out of the the 2026 Michigan Senate race before Aug 4, 2026?·99%(+83%)Brazil presidential election: first round winner?·Flávio Bolsonaro·16%(-62%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+48%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·64%(+45%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Treg Taylor·22%(-43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-34%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·51%(-31%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·47%(-30%)MI-07 Democratic nominee?·William Lawrence·25%(-29%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-29%)Early elections in the UK announced?·Before Sep 1, 2026·36%(+28%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·34%(-24%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)
Back
Live summary

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 60% as of 5 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 13 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 60% (24h change -1%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 26% (24h change +1%)
  • Renan Santos: 8.2% (24h change -0.9%)
  • Jair Bolsonaro: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 2.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Michelle Bolsonaro: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Ciro Gomes: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Fernando Haddad: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Aldo Rebelo: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Tarcísio de Freitas: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Eduardo Bolsonaro: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Ratinho Júnior: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
presidential13 marketsLIVE

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Trade ↗