Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is favored at 64% as of 20 Aug 2026, 04:03 UTC across 13 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 64% (24h change -1%)
• Flávio Bolsonaro: 36% (24h change +5%)
• Renan Santos: 4.9% (24h change +0.8%)
• Ciro Gomes: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Jair Bolsonaro: 0.3% (24h change -0.6%)
• Fernando Haddad: 0.1% (24h change -0.1%)
• Tarcísio de Freitas: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Michelle Bolsonaro: 0.1% (24h change -0.3%)
• Eduardo Bolsonaro: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Ratinho Júnior: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
• Romeu Zema: 0.1% (24h change -0.2%)
• Ronaldo Caiado: 0.1% (24h change -1.5%)
• Aldo Rebelo: 0.1% (24h change 0%)