Flávio Bolsonaro is favored at 64% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 14 markets.
- Flávio Bolsonaro: 64% (24h change +5%)
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 36% (24h change -6%)
- Augusto Cury: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ciro Gomes: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Renan Santos: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Romeu Zema: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Ratinho Júnior: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Michelle Bolsonaro: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Aldo Rebelo: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Eduardo Bolsonaro: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Tarcísio de Freitas: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Jair Bolsonaro: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Ronaldo Caiado: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Fernando Haddad: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
Brazil Presidential election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Brazil Presidential election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil Presidential election winner?
Flávio Bolsonaro is favored at 64% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential election winner?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 64%; Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 36%; Augusto Cury: 1%; Ciro Gomes: 1%; Renan Santos: 0.3%; Romeu Zema: 0.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.