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Powered by KalshiNavajo Nation presidential election winner?·Buu Nygren·6%(-88%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 15-20%·89%(+66%)Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?·Before 2027·99%(+64%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Aug 1, 2026·66%(+53%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·United Torah Judaism·46%(-51%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·2.1%(-50.9%)Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Rand Paul·13%(-44%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·9%(-42%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?·Above 5.2%·84%(+41%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 26·19%(-40%)Who will win the next Zambian presidential election?·Hakainde Hichilema·93%(+38%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Jerome Powell·57%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 60·37%(-37%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·John Rose·45%(+36.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 5·99%(+36%)
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Summary

Renan Santos is favored at 60% as of 21 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Renan Santos: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Romeu Zema: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Eduardo Bolsonaro: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Michelle Bolsonaro: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Ronaldo Caiado: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

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