Renan Santos is favored at 44% as of 12 Sep 2026, 10:06 UTC across 13 markets.
- Renan Santos: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Ronaldo Caiado: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Augusto Cury: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Romeu Zema: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Pablo Marçal: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Samara: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Wilson Grassi: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Edmilson Costa: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Hertz Dias: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Rui Costa Pimenta: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Clariana Barão: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 1% (24h change 0%)
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)?
Renan Santos is favored at 44% as of 12 Sep 2026, 10:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)?
Renan Santos: 44%; Ronaldo Caiado: 26%; Augusto Cury: 22%; Romeu Zema: 8%; Pablo Marçal: 3%; Samara: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.