Tocantins is favored at 92% as of 6 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC across 5 markets.
- Tocantins: 92% (24h change 0%)
- Minas Gerais: 90% (24h change 0%)
- Amapá: 63% (24h change 0%)
- Amazonas: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Pará: 12% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
Tocantins is favored at 92% as of 6 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
Tocantins: 92%; Minas Gerais: 90%; Amapá: 63%; Amazonas: 25%; Pará: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.