Live market summary
PL is favored at 90% as of 16 Sep 2026, 00:35 UTC across 7 markets.
- PL: 90% (24h change 0%)
- União Progressista: 7% (24h change 0%)
- MDB: 5% (24h change 0%)
- NOVO: 4% (24h change 0%)
- PSD: 4% (24h change 0%)
- FE Brasil: 1% (24h change 0%)
- PSDB–Cidadania: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
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About this market
Market question: Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held?
PL is favored at 90% as of 16 Sep 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held?
PL: 90%; União Progressista: 7%; MDB: 5%; NOVO: 4%; PSD: 4%; FE Brasil: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.