Pete Hegseth is favored at 26% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:34 UTC across 21 markets.
- Pete Hegseth: 26% (24h change +4%)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 17% (24h change -13%)
- Howard Lutnick: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Markwayne Mullin: 7% (24h change +2%)
- Susie Wiles: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Brooke Rollins: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Wright: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Linda McMahon: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Scott Bessent: 3% (24h change -6%)
- Sean Duffy: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Kelly Loeffler: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Jamieson Greer: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Michael Kratsios: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Mike Waltz: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Doug Burgum: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Doug Collins: 1% (24h change 0%)
- John Ratcliffe: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Lee Zeldin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Scott Turner: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Russell Vought: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Trade ↗All options
Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth is favored at 26% as of 5 Oct 2026, 15:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth: 26%; Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 17%; Howard Lutnick: 11%; Markwayne Mullin: 7%; Susie Wiles: 7%; Brooke Rollins: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.