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Powered by KalshiWho will visit the White House in 2026?·Jaxson Dart·97%(+83%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·93%(+79%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·New York·4%(-78%)West Virginia Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 30+ pts·1%(-77%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 40%·70%(+68%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·77%(+66%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Alexandre Kalil·10%(-62%)Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?·Sheldon Whitehouse·91%(+56%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·14%(-55%)Florida's 20th District margin of victory·Democrats, 43+ pts·55%(+54%)West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory·Republicans, 42+ pts·63%(+51%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Jensen Huang·7%(-50%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·91%(+49%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·67%(+49%)Who will Trump pardon?·Steve Bannon·86%(+49%)

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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

31 options · Leads: Amy Gleason · Vol: $4.0M

▲ +2%
43%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $356K

▼ -1.4%
4.8%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $129K

—
72%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

21 options · Leads: Markwayne Mullin · Vol: $127K

▲ +25%
40%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

4 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $111K

—
22%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

3 options · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $85K

▲ +3%
62%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

16 options · Leads: Keith Sonderling · Vol: $81K

—
93%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

9 options · Leads: Switzerland · Vol: $79K

—
46%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $73K

—
1%

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

8 options · Leads: Rand Paul · Vol: $33K

—
76%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

8 options · Leads: No new person · Vol: $32K

—
58%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $31K

▲ +5%
55%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

4 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $22K

—
53%

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $16K

▲ +1%
6%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $13K

—
88%

Kash Patel departure announced?

4 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $7K

▲ +1%
20%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

5 options · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $7K

—
61%

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

4 options · Leads: Jeffrey Vacirca · Vol: $7K

▼ -11%
50%

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—
16%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $5K

—
53%

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—
71%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—
1.1%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Robert Sprague · Vol: $5K

—
61%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Tim Fleming · Vol: $3K

—
55%

When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

—
53%

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)

2 options · Leads: At least 10 · Vol: $681

—
2%