Cabinet markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

53 options · Leads: Anna Kelly · Vol: $6.4M

▲ +1%
21%

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

30 options · Leads: Pete Hegseth · Vol: $4.3M

▼ -4%
24%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

21 options · Leads: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. · Vol: $223K

▲ +23%
41%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

8 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $209K

▲ +3%
92%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

7 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $169K

▼ -6%
80%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $135K

—
89%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $100K

▲ +5%
79%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

9 options · Leads: Switzerland · Vol: $87K

—
32%

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

23 options · Leads: John Healey · Vol: $42K

—
19%

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

8 options · Leads: Rand Paul · Vol: $37K

—
43%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $36K

—
44%

Who will Trump name as AI czar?

17 options · Leads: Jay Clayton · Vol: $33K

—
87%

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $26K

—
24%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

4 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $22K

—
58%

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $22K

—
84%

Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?

3 options · Leads: Kash Patel · Vol: $18K

▼ -7%
42%

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

5 options · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2027 · Vol: $18K

—
49%

Kash Patel departure announced?

2 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $17K

—
12%

Minnesota Secretary of State winner?

4 options · Leads: Steve Simon · Vol: $12K

—
87%

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

8 options · Leads: Adam Telle · Vol: $11K

▲ +1%
41%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $10K

▲ +3%
65%

When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?

3 options · Leads: Before Jun 1, 2027 · Vol: $9K

—
85%

When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?

2 options · Leads: Before Mar 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K

—
56%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Robert Sprague · Vol: $7K

—
57%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Penny Brown Reynolds · Vol: $6K

▲ +9%
55%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $6K

—
60%

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—
11%

Iowa Secretary of State winner?

1 option · Leads: Ryan Peterman · Vol: $4K

—
20%

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $4K

▼ -3%
27%

Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?

6 options · Leads: Jeff Freeland · Vol: $3K

—
71%

Natalie Harp White House departure announced?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

—
14%

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

2 options · Leads: Before Dec 19, 2026 · Vol: $3K

▲ +2%
26%

RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $3K

—
54%

Iowa Secretary of Agriculture winner?

2 options · Leads: Chris Jones · Vol: $2K

—
82%

Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K

—
30%

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

—
88%

Massachusetts Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: William Francis Galvin · Vol: $205

—
97%

California Secretary of State winner?

1 option · Leads: Donald P. (Don) Wagner · Vol: $200

—
7%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?

1 option · Leads: Kevin Warsh · Vol: $184

—
56%

Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?

4 options · Leads: Stanley E. Woodward Jr. · Vol: $119

—
25%

South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

1 option · Leads: Terrence Davis · Vol: $2

—
54%

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

1 option · Leads: Michael Howe · Vol: $1

—
97%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

1 option · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $1

—
24%

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1

—
15%