Cabinet markets

VolumeOddsChange

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

22 options · Leader: Todd Blanche

—

77%

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

32 options · Leader: Todd Blanche

—

69%

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

23 options · Leader: Jay Clayton

▲ +1%

86%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

1 option · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -2.7%

7.3%

Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?

9 options · Leader: Tommy Tuberville

—

83%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

2 options · Leader: Before Sep 1, 2026

▼ -1.1%

8.9%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

21 options · Leader: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

—

33%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

3 options · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

▼ -2%

65%

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

5 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

34%

When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?

5 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

90%

When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?

2 options · Leader: Before Oct 1, 2026

▲ +5%

10%

Kash Patel departure announced?

1 option · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▲ +1.2%

6.2%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options · Leader: 0

—

61%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

6 options · Leader: Before Jan 2027

—

72%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

16 options · Leader: Keith Sonderling

▲ +1%

86%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

8 options · Leader: No new person

—

46%

When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 8, 2026

▲ +3%

74%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

9 options · Leader: Qatar

—

54%

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

8 options · Leader: Rand Paul

▼ -3%

51%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

4 options · Leader: 2

▼ -6%

43%

Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?

1 option · Leader: Susie Wiles

—

50%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

83%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

55%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options · Leader: No other person

—

53%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options · Leader: No other person

—

48%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

1 option · Leader: Before Sep 1, 2026

—

8%

Howard Lutnick departure announced?

1 option · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

—

5%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?

3 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

81%

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

1 option · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

—

5%

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

1 option · Leader: Heidi Overton

—

77%

How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?

4 options · Leader: Above 53

—

76%

When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

74%

Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?

4 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

85%

How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

5 options · Leader: Above 49

—

77%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

1.1%