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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+92%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 70%·1%(-89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)

Cabinet markets

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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

31 options · Leads: Karoline Leavitt · Vol: $4.5M

▼ -0.1%
99.3%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

26 options · Leads: Alina Habba · Vol: $858K

▲ +5%
40%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $398K

▲ +1%
4%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

21 options · Leads: Markwayne Mullin · Vol: $139K

▼ -1%
18%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

4 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $129K

—
24%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $129K

—
73%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

3 options · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $88K

—
68%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

16 options · Leads: Keith Sonderling · Vol: $82K

▲ +3%
92%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

9 options · Leads: Switzerland · Vol: $81K

▼ -1%
45%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $74K

—
1%

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

8 options · Leads: Rand Paul · Vol: $33K

—
76%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $32K

▼ -1%
54%

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $23K

▲ +1%
8%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

4 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $22K

—
59%

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

4 options · Leads: Heidi Overton · Vol: $14K

▲ +81%
99%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $13K

—
88%

Kash Patel departure announced?

4 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $10K

—
20%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

5 options · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $9K

—
70%

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—
70%

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—
71%

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

5 options · Leads: Before Aug 25, 2026 · Vol: $6K

▲ +65%
86%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—
1%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options · Leads: No other person · Vol: $5K

—
53%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Robert Sprague · Vol: $5K

—
68%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Tim Fleming · Vol: $3K

—
55%

When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

—
34%

Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?

4 options · Leads: Stanley E. Woodward Jr. · Vol: $108

—
25%