Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiGA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·92%(+76%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·At least 45%·70%(+68%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·9%(-63%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Jul 1, 2026·77%(+47%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·33%(-43%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·28%(-36%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Eric Troutman·41%(+33.3%)Trump's approval rating on May 22, 2026?·Below 39.9·98%(+33%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Sean Combs·43%(+33%)

Cabinet markets

Presidential Senate House Governor Congressional Supreme court Cabinet Federal reserve Other policy International Other

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

22 options · Leader: Todd Blanche

▲ +3%
52%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -3%
34%

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

32 options · Leader: Kash Patel

▼ -7%
64%

Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -13%
19%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

4 options · Leader: Before Sep 1, 2026

▼ -3%
22%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

22 options · Leader: Tulsi Gabbard

▲ +1%
41%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

9 options · Leader: Mexico

▲ +8%
55%

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?

4 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -7%
66%

Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -2%
37%

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

8 options · Leader: Rand Paul

▼ -30%
23%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options · Leader: 0

▼ -4%
62%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

4 options · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

▼ -0.6%
63%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

3 options · Leader: Before Sep 1, 2026

▼ -1%
28%

Will Pete Hegseth announce his departure as Secretary of Defense?

3 options · Leader: Before Jul 1, 2026

▲ +0.8%
10%

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce her departure as Director of National Intelligence?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -2%
29%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

15 options · Leader: Keith Sonderling

▲ +2%
32%

Who will join the Trump administration before July?

11 options · Leader: Marc Rowan

▲ +1%
8%

Will Howard Lutnick announce his departure as Commerce Secretary?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -2.3%
21%

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

8 options · Leader: Before Jan 2027

▲ +1%
80%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

4 options · Leader: 2

—
41%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—
77%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—
50%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options · Leader: No other person

▲ +1%
54%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

8 options · Leader: No new person

▼ -0.1%
34%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options · Leader: No other person

▼ -1.1%
43%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?

5 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

▼ -2%
56%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be announced?

3 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -2%
54%

When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

4 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—
73%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—
1.2%

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be confirmed?

4 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

—
20%