Powered by KalshiMO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·88%(+80%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·87%(+77%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, ≥15%·84%(+63%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·21%(-59%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 60·14%(-55%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%·1%(-51%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Mateus Simões·61%(+48%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·60%(+48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)

Powered by KalshiMO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·88%(+80%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·87%(+77%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, ≥15%·84%(+63%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·21%(-59%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 60·14%(-55%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%·1%(-51%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Mateus Simões·61%(+48%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·60%(+48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)

Summary

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026? is favored at 90% as of 4 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

policy1 marketLIVE

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

90%

—

$500K