Mike Derry is favored at 95% as of 13 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC across 4 markets.
- Mike Derry: 95% (24h change +2%)
- Kyle Campbell: 4% (24h change 0%)
- John Roggeveen: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Kyle Joseph: 1% (24h change 0%)
Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?
Mike Derry is favored at 95% as of 13 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?
Mike Derry: 95%; Kyle Campbell: 4%; John Roggeveen: 1%; Kyle Joseph: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.