Live market summary
Before 2029 is favored at 65% as of 18 Sep 2026, 01:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before 2029: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2028: 42% (24h change 0%)
international2 marketsLIVE
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
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About this market
Market question: When will Canada gain EU associate status?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2029 is favored at 65% as of 18 Sep 2026, 01:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2029: 65%; Before 2028: 42%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.