Live market summary
Manitoba is favored at 68% as of 23 Sep 2026, 08:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Manitoba: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Quebec: 10% (24h change 0%)
international2 marketsLIVE
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
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About this market
Market question: Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
Manitoba is favored at 68% as of 23 Sep 2026, 08:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
Manitoba: 68%; Quebec: 10%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.