Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026? had the highest retained price at 4% when this page was last updated on 21 Aug 2026, 03:34 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
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Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026? had the highest retained price at 4% when this page was last updated on 21 Aug 2026, 03:34 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?: 4%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.