No, ≥1% is favored at 60% as of 4 Oct 2026, 17:05 UTC across 5 markets.
- No, ≥1%: 60% (24h change 0%)
- No, ≥10%: 41% (24h change 0%)
- No, ≥4%: 30% (24h change 0%)
- No, ≥7%: 15% (24h change 0%)
- No, ≥22%: 1% (24h change 0%)
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)?
No, ≥1% is favored at 60% as of 4 Oct 2026, 17:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)?
No, ≥1%: 60%; No, ≥10%: 41%; No, ≥4%: 30%; No, ≥7%: 15%; No, ≥22%: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.