Who will be the next CDU/CSU parliamentary leader?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Thorsten Frei had the highest retained price at 97% when this page was last updated on 3 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: Who will be the next CDU/CSU parliamentary leader?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for Who will be the next CDU/CSU parliamentary leader?
Thorsten Frei had the highest retained price at 97% when this page was last updated on 3 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for Who will be the next CDU/CSU parliamentary leader?
Thorsten Frei: 97%; Alexander Hoffmann: 1%; Alexander Dobrindt: 1%; Günter Krings: 1%; Nina Warken: 1%; Carsten Linnemann: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.