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Supreme courtHistorical market

Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Before 2026 had the highest retained price at 31% when this page was last updated on 29 Jun 2026, 21:17 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Before 2026
Closed contract
31%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?

Before 2026 had the highest retained price at 31% when this page was last updated on 29 Jun 2026, 21:17 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?

Before 2026: 31%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.