Live market summary
Before 2030 is favored at 60% as of 31 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before 2030: 60% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2029: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2028: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2027: 10% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Will China abolish birth limits?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will China abolish birth limits?
Before 2030 is favored at 60% as of 31 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will China abolish birth limits?
Before 2030: 60%; Before 2029: 36%; Before 2028: 23%; Before 2027: 10%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.