Summary
Before Jan 1, 2030 is favored at 68% as of 16 Aug 2026, 12:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.
- Before Jan 1, 2030: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 11% (24h change 0%)
policy4 marketsLIVE
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Trade ↗Odds history
Loading chart