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Powered by KalshiSouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?·Nancy Mace·2%(-97%)South Carolina Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·78%(+76.5%)When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?·Before 2028·32%(-67%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 5·99%(+56%)Will the French United Left primary be canceled?·Will it be reported by Front Populaire 2027 that the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held before Oct 13, 2026?·76%(+46%)California State Senate District 26 election winner·Wendy Carrillo·1%(-45%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 50·49%(-44%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·58%(+44%)Will crypto market structure legislation become law?·Before Jan 1, 2028·57%(-39%)Ohio Secretary of State winner?·Democratic party·60%(+38%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Ending Jun 4, 2029·65%(+37%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)·Above 0·50%(-36%)Will Trump visit Greenland?·Before Jan 1, 2028·11%(-36%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·11%(-35%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 125 million·99%(+34%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2029 is favored at 47% as of 13 Jul 2026, 21:02 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2029: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2030: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 9% (24h change 0%)
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