ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Dec 1, 2026·82%(+72%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·93%(+71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·85%(+70%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Leon Lawson·9%(-67%)Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·92%(+61%)VA-10 Republican nominee?·Dave Beckwith·61%(+49%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 75k·9%(-44%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·67%(+44%)Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?·Gabriel Attal·4.3%(-41.7%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·4%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·2%(-37%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·88%(+37%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·2%(-32%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 50·41%(-23%)
Back
Summary

Before 2030 is favored at 49% as of 7 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before 2030: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2029: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2028: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2027: 6% (24h change 0%)
policy4 marketsLIVE

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart

All options