ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·97.7%(+93.7%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+59%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 4·12%(-36%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(-35%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·57%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Surface transportation reauthorization·45%(+26%)GA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·43%(+26%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Thom Tillis·82%(+25%)
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Summary

Reclaim Party is favored at 11% as of 9 Jul 2026, 22:32 UTC across 13 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Reclaim Party: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Luke Worley: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Piers Corbyn: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Count Binface Party: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Forward Party: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Ollie Granger: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Official Monster Raving Loony Party: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Heritage Party: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Climate Party: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Tony Mack: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Conservative Party: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Labour Party: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK: 1% (24h change 0%)
international13 marketsLIVE

Clacton by-election: 4th place

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