Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by Kalshi2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee·Dave Smith·98%(+88.1%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Dec 1, 2026·82%(+72%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·93.7%(+71.7%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·85%(+70%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Leon Lawson·9%(-67%)Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 44+ pts·92%(+61%)VA-10 Republican nominee?·Dave Beckwith·61%(+49%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 75k·9%(-44%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·65%(+42%)Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?·Gabriel Attal·4.3%(-41.7%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·4%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·2%(-37%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·88%(+37%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-31%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)
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Summary

Reform UK, ≥10% is favored at 98% as of 7 Jul 2026, 19:32 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Reform UK, ≥10%: 98% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK, ≥20%: 84% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK, ≥25%: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK, ≥30%: 67% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK, ≥35%: 52% (24h change 0%)
  • Reform UK, ≥40%: 44% (24h change 0%)
international6 marketsLIVE

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