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InternationalHistorical market

Clacton by-election margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Reform UK, ≥10% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 15 Aug 2026, 13:34 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Reform UK, ≥10%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥30%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥20%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥5%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥25%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥35%
Closed contract
99%
Reform UK, ≥15%
Closed contract
98%
Reform UK, ≥75%
Closed contract
6%
Reform UK, ≥45%
Closed contract
5%
Reform UK, ≥80%
Closed contract
3%
Reform UK, ≥60%
Closed contract
2%
Reform UK, ≥50%
Closed contract
2%
Reform UK, ≥40%
Closed contract
1%
Reform UK, ≥55%
Closed contract
1%
Reform UK, ≥70%
Closed contract
1%
Reform UK, ≥65%
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: Clacton by-election margin of victory?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Clacton by-election margin of victory?

Reform UK, ≥10% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 15 Aug 2026, 13:34 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Clacton by-election margin of victory?

Reform UK, ≥10%: 99%; Reform UK, ≥30%: 99%; Reform UK, ≥20%: 99%; Reform UK, ≥5%: 99%; Reform UK, ≥25%: 99%; Reform UK, ≥35%: 99%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.