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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·65%(+49%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·18%(-36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·87%(+32%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·52%(+32%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·76%(+29%)
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Summary

Before Oct 1, 2026 is favored at 87% as of 25 Aug 2026, 02:03 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 87% (24h change +1%)
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When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

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