Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·13%(-77%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 20-25%·80%(+70%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·3%(-48%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?·Before Dec 2026·90%(+43%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Sep 1, 2026·32%(-40%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·74%(+40%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Max Engling·33%(-39%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·15%(-39%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 3·15%(-38%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·67%(+33%)

Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·13%(-77%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 20-25%·80%(+70%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·3%(-48%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?·Before Dec 2026·90%(+43%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Sep 1, 2026·32%(-40%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·74%(+40%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Max Engling·33%(-39%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·15%(-39%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 3·15%(-38%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·67%(+33%)

Summary

Before Aug 3, 2026 is favored at 37% as of 30 Jul 2026, 21:32 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

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When will Jay Clayton be sworn in?

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Before Aug 3, 2026

37%

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$64