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Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 42+ pts·98%(+77%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·12%(-59%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·98%(+56%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·17%(-53%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·4%(-43%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?·Clémentine Autain·8%(-42%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 20·48%(-42%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 70+ pts·92%(+42%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Ron DeSantis·69%(+42%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·89%(+34%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 29% as of 26 Jul 2026, 04:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 29% (24h change 0%)
policy1 marketLIVE

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?

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