FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Trade ↗Above $1M is favored at 99% as of 30 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC across 10 markets.
- Above $1M: 99% (24h change 0%)
- Above $5M: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Above $10M: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Above $50M: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Above $100M: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Above $500M: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Above $1B: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Above $2B: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Above $4B: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Above $6B: 2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card?
Above $1M is favored at 99% as of 30 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card?
Above $1M: 99%; Above $5M: 75%; Above $10M: 36%; Above $50M: 25%; Above $100M: 23%; Above $500M: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.