Live market summary
Rating reduced is favored at 5.3% as of 3 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC across 1 market.
- Rating reduced: 5.3% (24h change -2.6%)
About this market
Market question: US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
Rating reduced is favored at 5.3% as of 3 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
Rating reduced: 5.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.