ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·13%(-77%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 20-25%·80%(+70%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·3%(-48%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?·Before Dec 2026·90%(+43%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Sep 1, 2026·32%(-40%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·74%(+40%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Max Engling·33%(-39%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Susan Collins·15%(-39%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 3·15%(-38%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·67%(+33%)
Back
Summary

Before Mar 1, 2027 is favored at 17% as of 30 Jul 2026, 22:02 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Mar 1, 2027: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 1, 2026: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 7% (24h change 0%)
policy3 marketsLIVE

When will the debt limit be increased?

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart

All options