New Hampshire is favored at 93% as of 11 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- New Hampshire: 93% (24h change +5%)
- Iowa: 7% (24h change 0%)
- South Carolina: 1% (24h change -7%)
- Nevada: 1% (24h change 0%)
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
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About this market
Market question: Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential prima?
New Hampshire is favored at 93% as of 11 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential prima?
New Hampshire: 93%; Iowa: 7%; South Carolina: 1%; Nevada: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.