Above 400,000 is favored at 99.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Above 400,000: 99.7% (24h change +4.2%)
- Above 200,000: 99.6% (24h change 0%)
- Above 300,000: 98.1% (24h change 0%)
- Above 450,000: 37% (24h change -6%)
- Above 500,000: 6.2% (24h change -3%)
- Above 600,000: 1.3% (24h change -7.2%)
About this market
Market question: Deportations in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Deportations in 2026?
Above 400,000 is favored at 99.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Deportations in 2026?
Above 400,000: 99.7%; Above 200,000: 99.6%; Above 300,000: 98.1%; Above 450,000: 37%; Above 500,000: 6.2%; Above 600,000: 1.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.