Election
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
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Alabama Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
·
Barry Moore, 10-15%
·
94%
(+92%)
MI-13 Republican nominee?
·
Martell D Bivings
·
1%
(-88%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
91%
(+88%)
Oregon Republican Senate nominee?
·
David Brock Smith
·
3%
(-88%)
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent
·
35% - 40%
·
97%
(+87%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 110k
·
1%
(-80%)
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent
·
60% - 65%
·
88%
(+78%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
1%
(-75%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
88%
(+74%)
KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent
·
45% - 48%
·
92%
(+72%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Sharif Street vote percent
·
25% - 30%
·
97%
(+69%)
GA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Joyce Griggs
·
76%
(+66%)
Trump-endorsed May primary candidates combo
·
Julia Letlow: the first round winner of the LA Senate GOP primary, Ed Gallrein: the winner of the KY-04 GOP primary, Burt Jones: the first round winner of the GA Gov GOP primary
·
82%
(+66%)
VA-06 Democratic nominee?
·
Beth Macy
·
91%
(+66%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent
·
At least 45%
·
70%
(+66%)
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Kalshi
Alabama Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
·
Barry Moore, 10-15%
·
94%
(+92%)
MI-13 Republican nominee?
·
Martell D Bivings
·
1%
(-88%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
91%
(+88%)
Oregon Republican Senate nominee?
·
David Brock Smith
·
3%
(-88%)
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent
·
35% - 40%
·
97%
(+87%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 110k
·
1%
(-80%)
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent
·
60% - 65%
·
88%
(+78%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
1%
(-75%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
88%
(+74%)
KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent
·
45% - 48%
·
92%
(+72%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Sharif Street vote percent
·
25% - 30%
·
97%
(+69%)
GA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Joyce Griggs
·
76%
(+66%)
Trump-endorsed May primary candidates combo
·
Julia Letlow: the first round winner of the LA Senate GOP primary, Ed Gallrein: the winner of the KY-04 GOP primary, Burt Jones: the first round winner of the GA Gov GOP primary
·
82%
(+66%)
VA-06 Democratic nominee?
·
Beth Macy
·
91%
(+66%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent
·
At least 45%
·
70%
(+66%)
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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Odds
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24h
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Volume
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Below 210
11
%
—
56
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226-229
10
%
—
84
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222-225
9.9
%
—
53
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Above 249
9.4
%
—
231
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230-233
8.1
%
▼ -0.3%
202
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218-221
8
%
—
232
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238-241
6.2
%
—
0
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234-237
6
%
—
0
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214-217
5.8
%
▼ -0.2%
238
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242-245
5
%
—
0
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210-213
4.5
%
▼ -0.5%
0
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246-249
4.3
%
▼ -0.1%
0
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