Above 249 is favored at 15% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC across 12 markets.
- Above 249: 15% (24h change -1%)
- 230-233: 13% (24h change -1%)
- 234-237: 13% (24h change 0%)
- 238-241: 12% (24h change +1%)
- 226-229: 11% (24h change 0%)
- 242-245: 9.7% (24h change 0%)
- 246-249: 7.8% (24h change 0%)
- 222-225: 6.6% (24h change -0.4%)
- 210-213: 4.1% (24h change -0.1%)
- Below 210: 3.6% (24h change -0.1%)
- 218-221: 3.6% (24h change -1.6%)
- 214-217: 3.4% (24h change -0.2%)
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 249 is favored at 15% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 249: 15%; 230-233: 13%; 234-237: 13%; 238-241: 12%; 226-229: 11%; 242-245: 9.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.