Before December 1, 2026 is favored at 14% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before December 1, 2026: 14% (24h change -2%)
- Before November 1, 2026: 3% (24h change 0%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
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About this market
Market question: Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before December 1, 2026 is favored at 14% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before December 1, 2026: 14%; Before November 1, 2026: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.