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Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?

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Live market summary

Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 26% as of 30 Oct 2026, 21:52 UTC across 2 markets.

  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 26% (24h change -2%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 21% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by?

Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 26% as of 30 Oct 2026, 21:52 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by?

Before Apr 1, 2027: 26%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 21%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.