Live market summary
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 9.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:04 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Jan 20, 2029: 9.7% (24h change -13.3%)
policy1 marketLIVE
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 9.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 9.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.