Back
CongressionalHistorical market

Who will drop out of their election?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Sara Rodriguez had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 19 Aug 2026, 03:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Sara Rodriguez
Closed contract
99%
Chuck Edwards
Closed contract
99%
Mandela Barnes
Closed contract
8%
Max Miller (before 8/11)
Closed contract
1%
Max Miller (before 8/5)
Closed contract
1%
Matt Maasdam
Closed contract
1%
Cory Mills
Closed contract
1%
Paul Renner
Closed contract
1%
Alani Bankhead
Closed contract
1%
Seth Bodnar
Closed contract
1%
James Fishback
Closed contract
0.1%
Chad Bianco
Closed contract
0.1%
Ken Paxton
Closed contract
0%
John Cornyn
Closed contract
0%
About this market

Market question: Who will drop out of their election?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Who will drop out of their election?

Sara Rodriguez had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 19 Aug 2026, 03:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Who will drop out of their election?

Sara Rodriguez: 99%; Chuck Edwards: 99%; Mandela Barnes: 8%; Max Miller (before 8/11): 1%; Max Miller (before 8/5): 1%; Matt Maasdam: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.