Live market summary
Before Nov 4, 2026 is favored at 16% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Nov 4, 2026: 16% (24h change 0%)
presidential1 marketLIVE
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump declare an election emergency?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Before Nov 4, 2026 is favored at 16% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Before Nov 4, 2026: 16%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.