Powered by KalshiRNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?·Special convention·95%(+71%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)·July 7·72%(+58%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+56%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·47%(+44%)Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?·Ronaldo Caiado·6%(-43%)CO-04 House winner?·Democratic party·1.6%(-39.4%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(-35%)FL-25 Republican nominee?·George Moraitis·50%(+34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·29%(-28%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Surface transportation reauthorization·45%(+26%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·69%(+26%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Cory Mills·62%(-24%)

Powered by KalshiRNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?·Special convention·95%(+71%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)·July 7·72%(+58%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+56%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory·Lula da Silva, ≥15%·47%(+44%)Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?·Ronaldo Caiado·6%(-43%)CO-04 House winner?·Democratic party·1.6%(-39.4%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(-35%)FL-25 Republican nominee?·George Moraitis·50%(+34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?·Before Aug 1, 2026·29%(-28%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Surface transportation reauthorization·45%(+26%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·69%(+26%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Cory Mills·62%(-24%)

Summary

Before 2030 is favored at 67% as of 9 Jul 2026, 03:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

presidential4 marketsLIVE

When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Before 2030

67%

▲ +3%

$519

Before 2029

54%

▲ +3%

$298

Before 2028

34%

—

$250

Before 2027

21%

▼ -9%

$1K