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Summary

France is favored at 46% as of 4 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • France: 46% (24h change 0%)
  • Hungary: 7.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Spain: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Italy: 3.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Poland: 1.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Germany: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
international6 marketsLIVE

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

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Odds history

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France

46%
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Spain

4.5%
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Italy

3.7%
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Poland

1.6%
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Germany

1.5%
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