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European Parliament election winner?

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Live market summary

EPP is favored at 69% as of 28 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC across 8 markets.

  • EPP: 69% (24h change 0%)
  • Patriots for Europe: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • S&D: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • ECR: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • ESN: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Greens/EFA: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • The Left: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Renew Europe: 3% (24h change 0%)

All options

EPP

69%
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S&D

6%
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ECR

4%
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ESN

4%
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About this market

Market question: European Parliament election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in European Parliament election winner?

EPP is favored at 69% as of 28 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for European Parliament election winner?

EPP: 69%; Patriots for Europe: 6%; S&D: 6%; ECR: 4%; ESN: 4%; Greens/EFA: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.