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Midterms: which party wins independents?
Trade ↗Live market summary
Democratic party is favored at 83% as of 1 Nov 2026, 05:07 UTC across 2 markets.
- Democratic party: 83% (24h change 0%)
- Republican party: 26% (24h change 0%)
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About this market
Market question: Midterms: which party wins independents?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Midterms: which party wins independents?
Democratic party is favored at 83% as of 1 Nov 2026, 05:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Midterms: which party wins independents?
Democratic party: 83%; Republican party: 26%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.