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InternationalHistorical market

Falealili 1 by-election winner?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Aperila Vaa Tiai had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 22 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Aperila Vaa Tiai
Closed contract
98%
Tuiloma Laneselota Lameko
Closed contract
2%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
Closed contract
2%
Patea
Closed contract
2%
Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
Closed contract
1%
Alec Latu
Closed contract
1%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: Falealili 1 by-election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Falealili 1 by-election winner?

Aperila Vaa Tiai had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 22 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Falealili 1 by-election winner?

Aperila Vaa Tiai: 98%; Tuiloma Laneselota Lameko: 2%; Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen: 2%; Patea: 2%; Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu: 1%; Alec Latu: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.