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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?·John Hart·98%(+95%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)MO-02 House winner?·Ann Wagner·12%(-71%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·21%(-66%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·53%(+29%)How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026?·At least 9·84%(+29%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·54%(+29%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 300k·62%(+28%)Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?·Italy·13%(-28%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 1·10%(-27%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 15% as of 15 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

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