ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·John Healey·99%(+98%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Lesil McGuire·90%(+89%)São Toméan presidential election winner?·Miques João Bonfim·1%(-89%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 8·99%(+87%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 0·99%(+84%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Rachel Reeves·3%(-66%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·1%(-65%)Texas's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 2+ pts·38%(-59.4%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Nancy Mace·2%(-54%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥55%·51%(+44%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·8·14%(-40%)Ottawa mayoral election winner?·Mark Sutcliffe·38%(-37%)Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(+36%)
Back
Summary

Dot Plot Omitted is favored at 59% as of 19 Jul 2026, 18:34 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Dot Plot Omitted: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Presser Skipped: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Trimmed Mean Emphasized: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Removed: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Rejected: 15% (24h change 0%)
fed5 marketsLIVE

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart