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Federal reserveHistorical market

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Forward Guidance Removed had the highest retained price at 97% when this page was last updated on 28 Sep 2026, 14:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Forward Guidance Removed
Closed contract
97%
Dot Plot Omitted
Closed contract
35%
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
Closed contract
11%
Reserve President Removed
Closed contract
11%
Presser Skipped
Closed contract
10%
Reserve President Rejected
Closed contract
9%
About this market

Market question: Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Forward Guidance Removed had the highest retained price at 97% when this page was last updated on 28 Sep 2026, 14:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Forward Guidance Removed: 97%; Dot Plot Omitted: 35%; Trimmed Mean Emphasized: 11%; Reserve President Removed: 11%; Presser Skipped: 10%; Reserve President Rejected: 9%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.