Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+78%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+78%)

Federal reserve markets

Presidential Senate House Governor Congressional Supreme court Cabinet Federal reserve Other policy International Other

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

7 options · Leads: Before Jan 31, 2028 · Vol: $280K

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

12 options · Leads: Stephen Miran · Vol: $232K

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $131K

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $70K

Lisa Cook departure announced?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $48K

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

5 options · Leads: Dot Plot Omitted · Vol: $36K

Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $32K

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Jerome Powell · Vol: $11K

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

5 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2031 · Vol: $7K

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

1 option · Leads: Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $6K

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

6 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

2 options · Leads: Paula Tkac · Vol: $23