Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
U.S. Midterms 2026 2028 President Congress
Power index AI index
Policy International
All markets
LIVE · Updated just now
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·90%(+69%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·54%(-25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·6%(-16%)
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·90%(+69%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·54%(-25%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·6%(-16%)
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Federal reserve markets

Federal reserve markets

Presidential Senate House Governor Congressional Supreme court Cabinet Federal reserve Other policy International Other

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

8 options · Leader: Before Jan 31, 2028

—
85%

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

5 options · Leader: Dot Plot Omitted

—
59%

Lisa Cook departure announced?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 2027

—
11%

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▲ +5.4%
9.7%

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

▼ -2.9%
7.1%

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Jerome Powell

—
17%

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

12 options · Leader: Stephen Miran

—
33%

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—
0.2%
MidtermsPresidentCongress
Power indexAI index
PolicyWorldMarkets
ElectionOdds

Live prediction market odds for U.S. and international politics.

Made by @rmcentush

Home President Congress People All markets World Data: