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PresidentialHistorical market

Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

South Carolina had the highest retained price at 95.3% when this page was last updated on 16 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
South Carolina
Closed contract
95.3%
New Hampshire
Closed contract
8.8%
Georgia
Closed contract
1%
Michigan
Closed contract
0.2%
Iowa
Closed contract
0.1%
Nevada
Closed contract
0.1%
Virginia
Closed contract
0.1%
North Carolina
Closed contract
0.1%
Illinois
Closed contract
0.1%
New Mexico
Closed contract
0.1%
Tennessee
Closed contract
0.1%
Delaware
Closed contract
0.1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

South Carolina had the highest retained price at 95.3% when this page was last updated on 16 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

South Carolina: 95.3%; New Hampshire: 8.8%; Georgia: 1%; Michigan: 0.2%; Iowa: 0.1%; Nevada: 0.1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.