Live market summary
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 88% as of 19 Oct 2026, 04:04 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 6% (24h change 0%)
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Will France declare a state of emergency?
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About this market
Market question: Will France declare a state of emergency?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will France declare a state of emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 88% as of 19 Oct 2026, 04:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will France declare a state of emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 88%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.