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Live summary

Keir Starmer is favored at 98.7% as of 5 Jul 2026, 15:32 UTC across 7 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Keir Starmer: 98.7% (24h change +1.8%)
  • Emmanuel Macron: 1.1% (24h change -0.1%)
  • Friedrich Merz: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Donald Trump: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Sanae Takaichi: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark Carney: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Giorgia Meloni: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
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Which G7 leader will leave next?

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Keir Starmer

98.7%
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