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Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

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Live market summary

Fort Bend is favored at 97% as of 1 Nov 2026, 08:07 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Fort Bend: 97% (24h change +6%)
  • Tarrant: 92% (24h change +1%)
  • Collin: 75% (24h change +1%)
  • Denton: 56% (24h change -4%)
  • Bastrop: 45% (24h change +4%)
  • Bell: 43% (24h change -1%)
  • Brazoria: 32% (24h change +4%)

All options

Fort Bend

97%
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Tarrant

92%
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Collin

75%
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Denton

56%
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Bastrop

45%
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Bell

43%
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Brazoria

32%
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About this market

Market question: Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

Fort Bend is favored at 97% as of 1 Nov 2026, 08:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

Fort Bend: 97%; Tarrant: 92%; Collin: 75%; Denton: 56%; Bastrop: 45%; Bell: 43%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.