Live market summary
Collin is favored at 22% as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Collin: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Denton: 15% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
Collin is favored at 22% as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
Collin: 22%; Denton: 15%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.