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Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·96%(+95%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 55·63%(+47%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·46%(-42%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4.7%(-40.3%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·42%(-33%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·53%(+31%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+28%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Aug 1, 2026·37%(-26%)Will new tariffs become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·56%(+26%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 20%·43%(-26%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Jan 1, 2027·32%(-25%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(+23%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Jensen Huang·51%(+23%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·43%(-22%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 10·79%(+22%)
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Summary

AfD is favored at 47% as of 28 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • AfD: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • CDU/CSU: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • SPD: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • BSW: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Next German federal election winner?

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AfD

47%
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SPD

14%
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