international7 marketsLIVE
Next German federal election winner?
Trade ↗Live market summary
AfD is favored at 82% as of 27 Oct 2026, 01:34 UTC across 7 markets.
- AfD: 82% (24h change 0%)
- CDU/CSU: 14% (24h change 0%)
- SPD: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Greens: 3% (24h change 0%)
- The Left: 2% (24h change +1%)
- FDP: 1% (24h change 0%)
- BSW: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Next German federal election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Next German federal election winner?
AfD is favored at 82% as of 27 Oct 2026, 01:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Next German federal election winner?
AfD: 82%; CDU/CSU: 14%; SPD: 7%; Greens: 3%; The Left: 2%; FDP: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.